PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Sports→BaseballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $13.0KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
10.5¢
YES
15.0¢
NO
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:3 trades$2.1K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 142 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$2.0K@ 64¢·suleng66

Decision read paused

Market status is DISPUTED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

DISPUTED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
DISPUTED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 21:08 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Tampa Bay Rays or Cleveland Guardians.

•This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team.

Read full resolution rules

This event refers to Game 5 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Tampa Bay Rays or Cleveland Guardians. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $48.0K gross
urhfrhchj1231233 linked markets · $46.6K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 37.6pp · near-book depth $3 → $8 · 22s
Execution status
Market disputed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.disputed

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hNO · $2.1K
24hNO · $2.1K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.5¢
VWAP 24h36.2¢▼ below by 25.7pp
VWAP 7d36.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$2.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
87.5¢$951.1Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5
24.5¢$390.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
68.5¢$92.2Kpriority38Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cowboys vs. Packers
51.5¢$599.3Kpriority42Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
100.0¢$400.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 53.5
50.5¢$344.0Kpriority84Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.