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Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5)

● quote 165 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs XI Esport (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs
76.0¢
Nuclear TigeRES
27.0¢
XI Esport
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$4.1K trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 62 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:XI Esport · $3.6K net·2 wallets·$3.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNuclear TigeRES$3.5K@ 100¢·lma0o0o0o

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$3.5K
tracked
$4.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: XI Esport · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 165 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 62 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES wins 2 or more maps than XI Esport in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "XI Esport".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Nuclear TigeRES and XI Esport in the PGL Bucharest Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES wins 2 or more maps than XI Esport in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "XI Esport". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nuclear TigeRES; negative values favor XI Esport. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNuclear TigeRES · $0
6hXI Esport · $3.5K
24hXI Esport · $4.0K

Nuclear TigeRES price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nuclear TigeRES price. XI Esport fills are converted to the complementary Nuclear TigeRES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current76.0¢
VWAP 24h96.2¢▼ below by 20.2pp
VWAP 7d96.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nuclear TigeRES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$3.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$256
70¢
$326
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs XI Esport (+6.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs XI Esport (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs XI Esport (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs
100.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs XI Esport (+6.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.