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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $245.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
59.5¢
Hubert Hurkacz
40.5¢
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection42Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:253 trades$445.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hubert Hurkacz · $38.7K net·8 wallets·$89.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHubert Hurkacz$46.2K@ 77¢·0x08a3…8666

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Hubert Hurkacz SETUP
What the tape says

Hubert Hurkacz pressure: $180.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$180.7K
6h
+$209.3K
tracked
$445.0K

8 verified profitable wallets: Hubert Hurkacz · $38.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 67

Since latest accumulation: -4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hubert Hurkacz or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
one8tyfive2 linked markets · $9.1K gross
0x9ffa…864c2 linked markets · $84 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Hubert Hurkacz@ 64.0¢17m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Hubert Hurkacz@ 72.0¢41m ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Hubert Hurkacz42m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Hubert Hurkacz@ 61.0¢44m ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
Latest book event: Hubert Hurkacz DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $10.9K → $54.2K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hubert Hurkacz; negative values favor Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHubert Hurkacz · $180.7K
6hHubert Hurkacz · $209.3K
24hHubert Hurkacz · $213.9K

Hubert Hurkacz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hubert Hurkacz price. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina fills are converted to the complementary Hubert Hurkacz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.5¢
VWAP 24h63.3¢▼ below by 3.8pp
VWAP 7d63.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hubert Hurkacz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$18.8K
75¢
$63.6K
70¢
$28.4K
65¢
$49.5K
60¢
$92.6K
55¢
← now
$116.0K
50¢
$76.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHubert Hurkacz$10.9K@ 64.1¢
mschaib0xf884…f5b2
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$19.6K@ 67.0¢
ziyoucui0x2c2a…267e
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$46.2K@ 77.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$16.7K@ 58.0¢
ziyoucui0x2c2a…267e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$15.3K@ 59.0¢
ziyoucui0x2c2a…267e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$30.9K@ 57.1¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$26.6K@ 58.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$10.8K@ 63.6¢
mschaib0xf884…f5b2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLHubert Hurkacz$11.3K@ 50.0¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$11.5K@ 51.0¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Hurkacz vs. Fokina: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hurkacz vs. Fokina: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-0.5) vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (+0.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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100.0¢$2.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik
0.0¢$2.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
100.0¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x08a3…8666Hubert Hurkacz$115.4K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·6 fills
ziyoucuiHubert Hurkacz$59.5K
BUY VWAP 60.8¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesHubert Hurkacz$36.1K
BUY VWAP 65.5¢·20 fills
KkunnAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$13.3K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·2 fills
0x760f…326aHubert Hurkacz$11.5K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
mschaibHubert Hurkacz$10.8K
BUY VWAP 63.6¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardHubert Hurkacz$10.1K
BUY VWAP 70.9¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.