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Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran

Sports→TennisSettlement: Thiago CigarranLiquidity: $114.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $92.0KEvent: Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran
0.0¢
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez payout
100.0¢
Thiago Cigarran payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:97 trades$14.5K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 28 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · $9.3K net·4 wallets·$10.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez$2.1K@ 65¢·UpTheBlues

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Thiago Cigarran. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 19:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Thiago Cigarran in the Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez' if Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez advances against Thiago Cigarran. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 28m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 28m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Thiago Cigarran UP 9.5pp · near-book depth $39.9K → $20.7K · 19s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez; negative values favor Thiago Cigarran. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Cigarran · $134
6hLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · $8.4K
24hLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · $10.9K

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez price. Thiago Cigarran fills are converted to the complementary Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h63.9¢▼ below by 63.9pp
VWAP 7d63.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.5K
70¢
$1.4K
65¢
$5.3K
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$156
50¢
$0
45¢
$50
40¢
$289
35¢
$85
30¢
$19
25¢
$20
20¢
$729
15¢
$153
10¢
$0
5¢
$1
0¢
← now
$168

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.