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Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Alexander BublikLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik
0.0¢
Alexander Zverev payout
100.0¢
Alexander Bublik payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:13 trades$470 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $5 net·2 wallets·$5 gross

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alexander Bublik. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alexander Zverev" if Alexander Zverev wins by 2 or more sets than Alexander Bublik, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alexander Bublik."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alexander Zverev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alexander Bublik."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alexander Bublik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Alexander Zverev" if Alexander Zverev wins by 2 or more sets than Alexander Bublik, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alexander Bublik." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alexander Zverev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alexander Bublik." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 13m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 13m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x92a8…eebc2 linked markets · $1.9K gross
1337zzz13372 linked markets · $1.9K gross
DCAAA2 linked markets · $1.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Alexander Bublik. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Bublik · $329
6hAlexander Bublik · $316
24hAlexander Bublik · $321

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Alexander Bublik fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h11.1¢▼ below by 11.1pp
VWAP 7d11.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$104
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$15
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$351

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.