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Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

● quote 12 min ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
99.7¢
Over
0.3¢
Under
0.6¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution66Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:2 trades$23 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 123 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$20
tracked
$23

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.6¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 12 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 123 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Quarterfinal 3 match between Team WE and FlyQuest in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217584 linked markets · $124.1K gross
halanddd1233 linked markets · $90.8K gross
aomendushen0083 linked markets · $76.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hOver · $20
24hOver · $20

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.7¢
VWAP 24h60.0¢▲ above by 39.7pp
VWAP 7d60.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$21
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner
0.1¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
62.5¢$1.1Mpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
0.1¢$132.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: WE (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5)
0.1¢$78.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
First Blood in Game 2?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.