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Eagles vs. Commanders

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $51.3KEvent: Eagles vs. Commanders

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

29.5¢
Eagles
70.5¢
Commanders
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:2 trades$13.2K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 672 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEagles$10.9K@ 30¢·0xca01…20e4

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$13.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 672 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 01:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Commanders" if Commanders win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Commanders, scheduled for November 1 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "Commanders" if Commanders win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $40.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eagles; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEagles · $0
6hEagles · $0
24hEagles · $13.2K

Eagles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eagles price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Eagles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current29.5¢
VWAP 24h30.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d30.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eagles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$13.2K
25¢
← now
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEagles$10.9K@ 30.0¢0xca01…20e4🐋—about 12 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
52.5¢$59.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
48.5¢$52.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Commanders (-14.5)
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Spread: Commanders (-16.5)
—$472priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
—$425priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Commanders (-7.5)
—$100priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
—$75priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5
—$24priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xca01…20e4Eagles$13.2K
BUY VWAP 30.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.