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Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez

● quote 13s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $190.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $673.0KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez
0.1¢
Han Shi
100.0¢
Leylah Fernandez
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets41Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:188 trades$194.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Leylah Fernandez · $29.9K net·10 wallets·$73.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLeylah Fernandez$33.0K@ 86¢·hurrican

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Leylah Fernandez pressure: $21.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$21.2K
6h
−$57.0K
tracked
$194.1K

10 verified profitable wallets: Leylah Fernandez · $29.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 26 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Leylah Fernandez or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Han Shi and Leylah Fernandez in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Leylah Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Han Shi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $7.0K gross
CoinTrick2 linked markets · $3.8K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $2.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Leylah Fernandez@ 98.0¢30m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Leylah Fernandez@ 74.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp
Latest book event: Han Shi DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $605 → $5.5K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Han Shi; negative values favor Leylah Fernandez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLeylah Fernandez · $21.2K
6hLeylah Fernandez · $57.0K
24hLeylah Fernandez · $62.2K

Han Shi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Han Shi price. Leylah Fernandez fills are converted to the complementary Han Shi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h19.9¢▼ below by 19.8pp
VWAP 7d19.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Han Shi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$266
30¢
$14.6K
25¢
$56.8K
20¢
$53.7K
15¢
$2.6K
10¢
$41.5K
5¢
$1.7K
0¢
← now
$23.0K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLeylah Fernandez$33.0K@ 86.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Leylah Fernandez (-1.5) vs Han Shi (+1.5)
99.6¢$22.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez
0.1¢$11.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Leylah Fernandez (-4.5) vs Han Shi (+4.5)
0.0¢$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shi vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$2.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shi vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$313priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Han Shi vs. Leylah Fernandez: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shi vs. Fernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shi vs. Fernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hurricanLeylah Fernandez$33.0K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesLeylah Fernandez$30.4K
BUY VWAP 83.7¢·16 fills
jtwyslljyLeylah Fernandez$12.7K
BUY VWAP 72.3¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.