Spread: Louisiana Tech (-14.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.5KEvent: Old Dominion vs. Louisiana Tech

Polymarket indicative prices · 9 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

44.5¢

Louisiana Tech

55.5¢

Old Dominion

—

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%

24h sample:2 trades$4.4K trackedsource coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 147 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOld Dominion$3.1K@ 56¢·lightotunnel35

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$1.8K

tracked

$4.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?

—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
•Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
•Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
•Observed tape is 147 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-10-24 21:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Louisiana Tech" if Louisiana Tech win the game by 15 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Old Dominion".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisiana Tech" if Louisiana Tech win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Old Dominion". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $89 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Louisiana Tech; negative values favor Old Dominion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hLouisiana Tech · $0

6hOld Dominion · $1.8K

24hOld Dominion · $1.8K

Louisiana Tech price VWAP

Volume-weighted Louisiana Tech price. Old Dominion fills are converted to the complementary Louisiana Tech probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current44.5¢

VWAP 24h44.29¢▲ above by 0.2pp

VWAP 7d44.29¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Louisiana Tech price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

$1.3K

40¢

← now

$3.1K

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Old Dominion vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 45.5

43.5¢$8.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Old Dominion (-20.5)

—$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Louisiana Tech (-20.5)

31.5¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Old Dominion vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 43.5