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Lisbon: Gina Feistel vs Guiomar Maristany

● quote 48s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Lisbon: Gina Feistel vs Guiomar Maristany
0.1¢
Gina Feistel
100.0¢
Guiomar Maristany
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%
24h sample:3 trades$21 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$1
6h
+$1
tracked
$21

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gina Feistel and Guiomar Maristany in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gina Feistel' if Gina Feistel advances against Guiomar Maristany. This market will resolve to 'Guiomar Maristany' if Guiomar Maristany advances against Gina Feistel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gina Feistel; negative values favor Guiomar Maristany. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGina Feistel · $1
6hGina Feistel · $1
24hGina Feistel · $1

Gina Feistel price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gina Feistel price. Guiomar Maristany fills are converted to the complementary Gina Feistel probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h27.2¢▼ below by 27.1pp
VWAP 7d27.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gina Feistel price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$20
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Feistel vs. Maristany: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Feistel vs. Maristany: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Feistel vs. Maristany: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Gina Feistel vs Guiomar Maristany
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Feistel vs. Maristany: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Gina Feistel vs Guiomar Maristany
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gina Feistel vs. Guiomar Maristany: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Feistel vs. Maristany: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.