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Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Sökerorg - Map 2 Winner

● quote 55s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $15.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Sökerorg (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage
99.5¢
FORZE Reload
0.5¢
Sökerorg
0.9¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection38Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution64Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$4.2K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFORZE Reload$2.1K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Sökerorg pressure: $1.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.6K
6h
−$3.6K
tracked
$4.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: FORZE Reload · $159 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.9¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sökerorg or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FORZE Reload" if FORZE Reload win Map 2 against Sökerorg.

•This market will resolve to "Sökerorg" if Sökerorg win Map 2 against FORZE Reload.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between FORZE Reload and Sökerorg in the CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FORZE Reload" if FORZE Reload win Map 2 against Sökerorg. This market will resolve to "Sökerorg" if Sökerorg win Map 2 against FORZE Reload. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $4.2K gross
0xbdab…b9992 linked markets · $1.4K gross
astapzippo2 linked markets · $284 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FORZE Reload; negative values favor Sökerorg. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSökerorg · $1.6K
6hSökerorg · $3.6K
24hSökerorg · $3.6K

FORZE Reload price VWAP

Volume-weighted FORZE Reload price. Sökerorg fills are converted to the complementary FORZE Reload probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.5¢
VWAP 24h97.9¢▲ above by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d97.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FORZE Reload price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.7K
90¢
$216
85¢
$93
80¢
$0
75¢
$235
70¢
$9
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Sökerorg (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage
100.0¢$14.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Sökerorg - Map 1 Winner
0.0¢$872priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢$41priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs Sökerorg (+1.5)
0.0¢$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FORZE Reload (-9.5) vs Sökerorg (+9.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.