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Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner

● quote 20s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $123.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $70.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs
0.1¢
ex-Keyd Stars
100.0¢
Galorys
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection56Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets74Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:87 trades$9.8K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:ex-Keyd Stars · $4.5K net·8 wallets·$6.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGalorys$3.1K@ 100¢·lma0o0o0o

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

ex-Keyd Stars pressure: $5.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.5K
6h
+$5.5K
tracked
$9.8K

8 verified profitable wallets: ex-Keyd Stars · $4.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from ex-Keyd Stars or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "ex-Keyd Stars" if ex-Keyd Stars win Map 1 against Galorys.

•This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win Map 1 against ex-Keyd Stars.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Final match between ex-Keyd Stars and Galorys in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-Keyd Stars" if ex-Keyd Stars win Map 1 against Galorys. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win Map 1 against ex-Keyd Stars. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $5.4K gross
0x4ed7…316e2 linked markets · $3.0K gross
0xedd7…e9d42 linked markets · $1.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Galorys UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $979 → $344 · 20s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor ex-Keyd Stars; negative values favor Galorys. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hex-Keyd Stars · $5.5K
6hex-Keyd Stars · $5.5K
24hex-Keyd Stars · $5.5K

ex-Keyd Stars price VWAP

Volume-weighted ex-Keyd Stars price. Galorys fills are converted to the complementary ex-Keyd Stars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h33.6¢▼ below by 33.5pp
VWAP 7d33.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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ex-Keyd Stars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$145
60¢
$4
55¢
$1.7K
50¢
$2.1K
45¢
$100
40¢
$1.3K
35¢
$1.3K
30¢
$70
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$5
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs
2.5¢$150.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner
11.5¢$20.9Kpriority74Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs ex-Keyd Stars (+1.5)
0.0¢$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Galorys (-3.5) vs ex-Keyd Stars (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.