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Wuhan Tennis Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska

● quote 42 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $149.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $297.2KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska
0.1¢
Marie Bouzkova
99.9¢
Maja Chwalinska
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:120 trades$104.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 42 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maja Chwalinska · $2.1K net·8 wallets·$17.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMarie Bouzkova$12.8K@ 61¢·luisterra

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Marie Bouzkova pressure: $13.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.9K
6h
+$4.3K
tracked
$104.2K

8 verified profitable wallets: Maja Chwalinska · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 42 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 55 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 42 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Marie Bouzkova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Bouzkova and Maja Chwalinska in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Maja Chwalinska. This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Marie Bouzkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $1.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Marie Bouzkova DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $220 → $949 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marie Bouzkova; negative values favor Maja Chwalinska. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarie Bouzkova · $13.9K
6hMarie Bouzkova · $4.3K
24hMarie Bouzkova · $4.3K

Marie Bouzkova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marie Bouzkova price. Maja Chwalinska fills are converted to the complementary Marie Bouzkova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h38.2¢▼ below by 38.1pp
VWAP 7d38.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marie Bouzkova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$2.5K
80¢
$510
75¢
$0
70¢
$5.0K
65¢
$24.1K
60¢
$21.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.5K
45¢
$4.3K
40¢
$135
35¢
$0
30¢
$542
25¢
$2.0K
20¢
$82
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$0
5¢
$5.9K
0¢
← now
$34.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMaja Chwalinska$12.5K@ 99.9¢
luisterra0xf828…6129
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMarie Bouzkova$12.8K@ 61.0¢
luisterra0xf828…6129
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

luisterraMarie Bouzkova$13.3K
BUY VWAP 65.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.