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Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)

Sports→Esports · Dota 2Settlement: Yellow SubmarineLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.0KEvent: Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢
Yellow Submarine payout
0.0¢
HULIGANI payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:11 trades$183 trackedsource coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 74 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:HULIGANI · $38 net·4 wallets·$44 gross

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Yellow Submarine. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-13 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine wins 2 or more games than HULIGANI in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "HULIGANI".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between HULIGANI and Yellow Submarine in the DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine wins 2 or more games than HULIGANI in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "HULIGANI". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 19m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 19m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
sashasasha52 linked markets · $8.6K gross
0xNuttawut2 linked markets · $7.6K gross
Jdjdj122 linked markets · $6.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yellow Submarine; negative values favor HULIGANI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHULIGANI · $100
6hHULIGANI · $138
24hHULIGANI · $138

Yellow Submarine price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yellow Submarine price. HULIGANI fills are converted to the complementary Yellow Submarine probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h75.0¢▲ above by 25.0pp
VWAP 7d75.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yellow Submarine price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$100
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$38
45¢
$0
40¢
$19
35¢
$20
30¢
$7
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.