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Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?

● quote just now
Closes: 18 daysLiquidity: $35.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $71.9KEvent: Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?
6.5¢
YES
93.5¢
NO
1.9¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution74Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:20 trades$18.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $32 net·2 wallets·$61 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$12.2K@ 93¢·GlobalMuffin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: $2.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.1K
6h
−$2.6K
tracked
$18.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: NO · $32 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.9¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Zacharia ceases to be White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

•If Katie Zacharia has not yet taken office as White House Press Secretary at market creation, this market will also resolve to "Yes" if, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, her appointment is withdrawn or it is announced that she will not take the position.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Zacharia ceases to be White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Katie Zacharia's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If Katie Zacharia has not yet taken office as White House Press Secretary at market creation, this market will also resolve to "Yes" if, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, her appointment is withdrawn or it is announced that she will not take the position. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Katie Zacharia and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xda4a…21842 linked markets · $403 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $2.1K
6hNO · $2.6K
24hNO · $18.1K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current6.5¢
VWAP 24h7.0¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d7.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$32
5¢
← now
$18.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNO$12.2K@ 93.0¢
GlobalMuffin0xff1e…5e2d
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
29.5¢$55.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

GlobalMuffinNo$14.8K
BUY VWAP 92.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.