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Spread: Rams (-17.5)

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 15 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $58.5KEvent: Chargers vs. Rams

Indicative prices · 1 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

18.5¢
Rams
81.5¢
Chargers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$29.2K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 171 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChargers$11.0K@ 82¢·HomeRunHazard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$19.6K
tracked
$29.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Chargers · $11.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 171 minutes old.
  • •Less than 15h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 21:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 18 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chargers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Chargers and Rams, scheduled for November 1 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chargers". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UpTheBlues3 linked markets · $39.0K gross
0xbc43…96d35 linked markets · $33.1K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $20.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rams; negative values favor Chargers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRams · $0
6hChargers · $19.6K
24hChargers · $19.6K

Rams price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rams price. Chargers fills are converted to the complementary Rams probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current18.5¢
VWAP 24h18.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d18.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rams price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$29.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChargers$11.0K@ 82.0¢
HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Rams (-14.5)
24.5¢$95.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Chargers (-14.5)
2.0¢$53.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chargers vs. Rams
26.5¢$20.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
50.5¢$12.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
44.5¢$8.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-5.5)
—$289priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
—$108priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
—$55priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesChargers$13.4K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardChargers$11.0K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.