Spread: Broncos (-4.5)

● quote 102 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.5KEvent: Chiefs vs. Broncos

Indicative prices · 102 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

33.5¢
Broncos
66.5¢
Chiefs
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction35wallets33execution63priority0data 50%💡 1 smart
24h sample:3 trades$29 trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$10
6h
+$9
tracked
$29

1 verified profitable wallet: Chiefs · $10 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 2%.
  • •Executable quote is 102 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 48 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 21:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Broncos" if the Broncos win the game by 5 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chiefs".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Chiefs and Broncos, scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Broncos" if the Broncos win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chiefs". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
BreakTheBank3 linked markets · $428.8K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $168.2K gross
0x2c33…05634 linked markets · $91.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hChiefs · $10
6hBroncos · $9
24hBroncos · $9

Broncos price VWAP

Current33.5¢
VWAP 24h35.6¢▼ below by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d35.6¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Broncos price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$19
30¢
← now
$10
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.