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Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $8.9KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari
32.5¢
Mia Pohankova
67.5¢
Maria Sakkari
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly20Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%
24h sample:11 trades$3.5K trackedsource coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaria Sakkari$3.3K@ 69¢·StJames1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$18
6h
−$3.3K
tracked
$3.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 60 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Pohankova and Maria Sakkari in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia Pohankova advances against Maria Sakkari. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Mia Pohankova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mia Pohankova; negative values favor Maria Sakkari. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMia Pohankova · $18
6hMaria Sakkari · $3.3K
24hMaria Sakkari · $3.3K

Mia Pohankova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mia Pohankova price. Maria Sakkari fills are converted to the complementary Mia Pohankova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.5¢
VWAP 24h30.8¢▲ above by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d30.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mia Pohankova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$3.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Pohankova vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pohankova vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pohankova vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Maria Sakkari (-1.5) vs Mia Pohankova (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mia Pohankova vs. Maria Sakkari: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pohankova vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.