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Roanne: Hugo Gaston vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $170.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $73.1KEvent: Roanne: Hugo Gaston vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
61.5¢
Hugo Gaston
38.5¢
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets80Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:55 trades$26.5K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pierre-Hugues Herbert · $2.6K net·3 wallets·$3.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHugo Gaston$3.8K@ 78¢·0xbd78…112e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Hugo Gaston pressure: $4.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.3K
6h
+$2.2K
tracked
$26.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Pierre-Hugues Herbert · $2.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hugo Gaston or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Pierre-Hugues Herbert. This market will resolve to 'Pierre-Hugues Herbert' if Pierre-Hugues Herbert advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Hugo Gaston UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $8.1K → $35.5K · 44s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hugo Gaston; negative values favor Pierre-Hugues Herbert. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHugo Gaston · $4.3K
6hHugo Gaston · $2.2K
24hHugo Gaston · $2.2K

Hugo Gaston price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hugo Gaston price. Pierre-Hugues Herbert fills are converted to the complementary Hugo Gaston probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current61.5¢
VWAP 24h59.8¢▲ above by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d59.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hugo Gaston price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$90
75¢
$3.8K
70¢
$860
65¢
$6.1K
60¢
← now
$5.6K
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$360
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$3.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Gaston vs. Herbert: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$306priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Hugo Gaston vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
0.0¢$213priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Pierre-Hugues Herbert (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5)
0.0¢$197priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Hugo Gaston (-1.5) vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (+1.5)
0.0¢$51priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hugo Gaston vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Hugo Gaston vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gaston vs. Herbert: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gaston vs. Herbert: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.