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Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Damir Dzumhur

● quote 131 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $166.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $168.8KEvent: Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Damir Dzumhur
0.1¢
Dimitar Kuzmanov
99.9¢
Damir Dzumhur
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:93 trades$69.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 136 min agoofficial metadata 133 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Damir Dzumhur · $3.9K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$39.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDamir Dzumhur$16.7K@ 91¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$12.7K
tracked
$69.5K

11 verified profitable wallets: Damir Dzumhur · $3.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 131 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 136 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 133 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitar Kuzmanov and Damir Dzumhur in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitar Kuzmanov' if Dimitar Kuzmanov advances against Damir Dzumhur. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Dimitar Kuzmanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Damir Dzumhur@ 96.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Damir Dzumhur UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $411 → $113.1K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dimitar Kuzmanov; negative values favor Damir Dzumhur. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDimitar Kuzmanov · $0
6hDamir Dzumhur · $12.7K
24hDamir Dzumhur · $12.9K

Dimitar Kuzmanov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dimitar Kuzmanov price. Damir Dzumhur fills are converted to the complementary Dimitar Kuzmanov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h27.8¢▼ below by 27.7pp
VWAP 7d27.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dimitar Kuzmanov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
$8.1K
75¢
$3.3K
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$13
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.5K
50¢
$172
45¢
$3.3K
40¢
$228
35¢
$522
30¢
$4.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$976
10¢
$0
5¢
$19.1K
0¢
← now
$22.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDamir Dzumhur$16.7K@ 91.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cDamir Dzumhur$16.8K
BUY VWAP 90.8¢·2 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseDamir Dzumhur$13.2K
BUY VWAP 96.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.