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Set Handicap: Aleksandar Vukic (-1.5) vs Hayato Matsuoka (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: YESLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2Event: Jinan: Hayato Matsuoka vs Aleksandar Vukic
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-21 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aleksandar Vukic" if Aleksandar Vukic wins by 2 or more sets than Hayato Matsuoka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hayato Matsuoka."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Aleksandar Vukic can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Hayato Matsuoka."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Hayato Matsuoka in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aleksandar Vukic" if Aleksandar Vukic wins by 2 or more sets than Hayato Matsuoka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hayato Matsuoka." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Aleksandar Vukic can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Hayato Matsuoka." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.