PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli

Sports→TennisSettlement: Maxim MrvaLiquidity: $168.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $200.2KEvent: Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli
100.0¢
Maxim Mrva payout
0.0¢
Francesco Maestrelli payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:48 trades$114.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 363 min agoofficial metadata 34 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maxim Mrva · $1.4K net·8 wallets·$1.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMaxim Mrva$42.2K@ 95¢·robustmst

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Maxim Mrva. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-22 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Francesco Maestrelli in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Francesco Maestrelli. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Maxim Mrva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL Maxim Mrva@ 99.5¢6h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Maxim Mrva7h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Maxim Mrva@ 55.0¢7h ago
15m CONFIRMED +19.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Maxim Mrva UP 3.2pp · near-book depth $7.3K → $1.9K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maxim Mrva; negative values favor Francesco Maestrelli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaxim Mrva · $0
6hFrancesco Maestrelli · $11.6K
24hFrancesco Maestrelli · $26.3K

Maxim Mrva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maxim Mrva price. Francesco Maestrelli fills are converted to the complementary Maxim Mrva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.6¢▲ above by 18.4pp
VWAP 7d81.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Maxim Mrva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$63.0K
90¢
$12.7K
85¢
$21
80¢
$2
75¢
$0
70¢
$18
65¢
$0
60¢
$6.4K
55¢
$192
50¢
$26.9K
45¢
$5.0K
40¢
$136
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMaxim Mrva$42.2K@ 95.1¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
SELLMaxim Mrva$12.5K@ 94.0¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
0.1¢$3.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner
0.1¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca Andreescu
0.0¢$696.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$420.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mallorca: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Rebeka Masarova
59.8¢$320.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstMaxim Mrva$29.0K
BUY VWAP 50.8¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.