Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

GeopoliticsCloses: 6 monthsLiquidity: $623.6K24h Vol: $36.8M
5.4¢
YES
94.5¢
NO
88.5¢
Spread
conv30Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale54Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge42Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:1464 trades1% YES99% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 95%·5 wallets(1🐋)·$43.7K
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$223.7K@ 94¢·0x4a41…f4c4

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h$1.9K
6h$4.2K
24h$61.1K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current5.4¢
VWAP 24h93.8¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d90.0¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$0
90¢
$3.4M
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$138.0K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$29.6K@ 94.5¢0x0f9b…7829🐋+0.1%about 16 hours ago
NO$11.8K@ 94.6¢0x0f9b…7829🐋+0.0%about 16 hours ago
NO$12.5K@ 94.2¢0xe0a9…1652🐋+0.4%1 day ago
NO$10.0K@ 94.2¢0xe4be…95a8🐋+0.4%3 days ago
NO$13.1K@ 93.7¢0x0f9b…7829🐋+1.0%4 days ago
NO$26.5K@ 93.7¢0x8b4b…541b🐋+1.0%5 days ago
NO$10.3K@ 93.7¢0x0f9b…7829🐋+1.0%5 days ago
NO$35.0K@ 93.7¢
89hjk0x5712…09a9
🐋+1.0%6 days ago
NO$54.8K@ 93.7¢
stupid220x8afa…adb6
🐋+1.0%7 days ago
NO$10.3K@ 93.3¢0x0f9b…7829🐋+1.4%8 days ago
NO$52.8K@ 93.8¢
allenzzz0xe749…f771
🐋+0.9%9 days ago
NO$112.4K@ 93.7¢0xc97b…47e5🐋+1.0%9 days ago
YES$13.5K@ 6.8¢0xd8bf…44ea🐋-20.2%9 days ago
NO$117.9K@ 93.3¢
stupid220x8afa…adb6
🐋+1.4%11 days ago
NO$12.6K@ 93.9¢0xa56d…82e7🐋+0.7%12 days ago
NO$18.6K@ 93.0¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+1.7%19 days ago
NO$45.2K@ 93.5¢
89hjk0x5712…09a9
🐋+1.2%21 days ago
NO$223.0K@ 93.5¢
89hjk0x5712…09a9
🐋+1.2%21 days ago
NO$223.5K@ 93.4¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+1.3%21 days ago
NO$223.7K@ 93.5¢0x4a41…f4c4🐋+1.2%21 days ago
NO$111.3K@ 93.5¢0x097d…e19b🐋+1.2%21 days ago
NO$58.3K@ 93.5¢0xbadf…aef3🐋+1.2%21 days ago
NO$33.2K@ 93.5¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+1.2%21 days ago
NO$208.0K@ 93.6¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+1.1%21 days ago
NO$18.8K@ 93.8¢0x5eec…f4e2🐋+0.9%22 days ago
NO$17.0K@ 93.3¢0xdd1d…bbf0🐋+1.3%26 days ago
NO$12.4K@ 93.5¢0x60c1…f605🐋+1.2%26 days ago
NO$21.7K@ 93.4¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+1.3%28 days ago
NO$14.0K@ 93.4¢0x7d5d…91d8🐋+1.3%29 days ago