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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 8 monthsLiquidity: $979.7K24h Vol: $23.4M
7.0¢
YES
92.9¢
NO
85.1¢
Spread
conv11Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale22Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge17Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom1Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 3 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:316 trades13% YES87% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 100%·10 wallets(2🐋)·$122.6K
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$416.1K@ 92¢·YatSen

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h$452
6h$5.2K
24h$37.3K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current7.0¢
VWAP 24h82.1¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d91.8¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$0
90¢
$4.2M
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$262.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$18.6K@ 93.1¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+0.0%2 days ago
NO$11.2K@ 93.2¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋-0.1%2 days ago
NO$39.3K@ 93.2¢
cqs0xdfe3…73c4
🐋-0.1%3 days ago
NO$49.6K@ 93.6¢
cqs0xdfe3…73c4
🐋-0.5%3 days ago
NO$15.0K@ 94.1¢0xa4c3…bbb2🐋-1.0%3 days ago
NO$37.6K@ 93.7¢0x11fc…dc48🐋-0.6%4 days ago
NO$38.1K@ 93.3¢0x11fc…dc48🐋-0.2%5 days ago
NO$30.0K@ 93.1¢0x11fc…dc48🐋+0.0%5 days ago
NO$27.8K@ 94.1¢0x11fc…dc48🐋-1.0%5 days ago
NO$36.2K@ 93.8¢0x11fc…dc48🐋-0.7%5 days ago
NO$15.1K@ 94.3¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋-1.3%5 days ago
NO$10.0K@ 94.3¢0x3caf…6d8a🐋-1.2%6 days ago
NO$12.6K@ 94.2¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋-1.2%6 days ago
NO$10.4K@ 94.3¢0x8349…c99d🐋-1.3%6 days ago
NO$23.6K@ 94.2¢0xa4c3…bbb2🐋-1.1%6 days ago
NO$26.4K@ 94.3¢0xa4c3…bbb2🐋-1.3%6 days ago
NO$28.0K@ 94.1¢0xa4c3…bbb2🐋-1.1%6 days ago
NO$10.3K@ 94.1¢0x924c…6db2🐋-1.1%7 days ago
NO$14.0K@ 94.0¢0x61c7…5ddb🐋-1.0%9 days ago
NO$31.7K@ 94.0¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋-1.0%9 days ago
NO$12.5K@ 94.2¢0x61c7…5ddb🐋-1.2%10 days ago
NO$31.6K@ 93.3¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋-0.2%14 days ago
NO$166.1K@ 93.4¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋-0.3%15 days ago
NO$371.7K@ 92.7¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+0.4%15 days ago
NO$416.1K@ 92.5¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+0.7%15 days ago
NO$51.9K@ 92.4¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+0.8%15 days ago
NO$11.1K@ 92.4¢0xc953…01bf🐋+0.8%15 days ago
NO$99.9K@ 92.6¢0x25e4…9d25🐋+0.5%15 days ago
NO$10.2K@ 92.4¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+0.8%19 days ago
NO$31.0K@ 92.2¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+1.0%23 days ago
NO$38.2K@ 92.7¢0xa4c3…bbb2🐋+0.4%24 days ago
NO$21.8K@ 93.0¢0xa4c3…bbb2🐋+0.1%24 days ago
NO$24.1K@ 92.7¢0x60c1…f605🐋+0.4%24 days ago
NO$11.1K@ 92.4¢0x60c1…f605🐋+0.7%24 days ago
NO$32.2K@ 91.7¢0xa4c3…bbb2🐋+1.5%26 days ago
NO$17.8K@ 91.9¢0xa4c3…bbb2🐋+1.3%26 days ago
NO$25.4K@ 91.4¢0x0f9b…7829🐋+1.8%28 days ago
NO$13.9K@ 91.3¢0x6be4…1f20🐋+2.0%about 1 month ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
cqsNO$96.3K
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNO$18.6K
xenonliuNO$4.6K
DEGENKHANNO$1.9K
neutralwave23NO$984
weakleiYES$103
wenhai1058NO$39
HZYTGNO$38
0x83a3…568fNO$24
simplystupid188YES$5