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M25 Austin, TX: Devin Badenhorst vs Micah Braswell

● quote 10 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $38.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $145.4KEvent: M25 Austin, TX: Devin Badenhorst vs Micah Braswell
1.0¢
Devin Badenhorst
99.9¢
Micah Braswell
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution19Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:26 trades$40.0K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 210 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Micah Braswell · $36.0K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$36.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMicah Braswell$17.2K@ 88¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$39.9K
tracked
$40.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Micah Braswell · $36.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 10 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 210 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Devin Badenhorst and Micah Braswell in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Devin Badenhorst' if Devin Badenhorst advances against Micah Braswell. This market will resolve to 'Micah Braswell' if Micah Braswell advances against Devin Badenhorst. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Devin Badenhorst; negative values favor Micah Braswell. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDevin Badenhorst · $0
6hMicah Braswell · $39.9K
24hMicah Braswell · $39.9K

Devin Badenhorst price VWAP

Volume-weighted Devin Badenhorst price. Micah Braswell fills are converted to the complementary Devin Badenhorst probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h18.9¢▼ below by 17.9pp
VWAP 7d18.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Devin Badenhorst price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$9.0K
20¢
$1.9K
15¢
$10.7K
10¢
$17.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMicah Braswell$17.2K@ 87.7¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYMicah Braswell$10.7K@ 81.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseMicah Braswell$36.1K
BUY VWAP 81.2¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.