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Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal

● quote 14s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $29.3KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal
52.5¢
Jasmine Paolini
47.5¢
Sonay Kartal
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$12.1K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 90 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jasmine Paolini · $27 net·2 wallets·$8.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSonay Kartal$4.0K@ 48¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$4.0K
tracked
$12.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Jasmine Paolini · $27 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 90 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Sonay Kartal in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Sonay Kartal. This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jasmine Paolini; negative values favor Sonay Kartal. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJasmine Paolini · $0
6hJasmine Paolini · $4.0K
24hJasmine Paolini · $4.0K

Jasmine Paolini price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jasmine Paolini price. Sonay Kartal fills are converted to the complementary Jasmine Paolini probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.4¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d52.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jasmine Paolini price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$12.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Paolini vs. Kartal: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
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Paolini vs. Kartal: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
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Paolini vs. Kartal: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jasmine Paolini vs. Sonay Kartal: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paolini vs. Kartal: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paolini vs. Kartal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paolini vs. Kartal: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.