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Set Handicap: Iva Jovic (-1.5) vs Maja Chwalinska (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.4KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska
51.0¢
Iva Jovic
49.0¢
Maja Chwalinska
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$3.0K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIva Jovic$2.9K@ 53¢·shijiebeiwolaile666

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$3.0K
tracked
$3.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: Maja Chwalinska · $3 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 66 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Iva Jovic" if Iva Jovic wins by 2 or more sets than Maja Chwalinska, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Maja Chwalinska."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Iva Jovic can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Maja Chwalinska."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Maja Chwalinska in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Iva Jovic" if Iva Jovic wins by 2 or more sets than Maja Chwalinska, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Maja Chwalinska." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Iva Jovic can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Maja Chwalinska." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iva Jovic; negative values favor Maja Chwalinska. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIva Jovic · $0
6hIva Jovic · $3.0K
24hIva Jovic · $3.0K

Iva Jovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iva Jovic price. Maja Chwalinska fills are converted to the complementary Iva Jovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.0¢
VWAP 24h52.5¢▼ below by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d52.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iva Jovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$3.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska
72.5¢$70.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Iva Jovic (-4.5) vs Maja Chwalinska (+4.5)
0.0¢$971priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jovic vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$499priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Iva Jovic vs. Maja Chwalinska: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$419priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jovic vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢$82priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jovic vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.