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Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $48.7KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo
87.5¢
Elina Svitolina
12.5¢
Hanyu Guo
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets37Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$21.4K trackedsource coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 148 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elina Svitolina · $865 net·4 wallets·$2.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElina Svitolina$10.0K@ 91¢·0000.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$18.1K
tracked
$21.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: Elina Svitolina · $865 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 148 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Hanyu Guo in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Hanyu Guo. This market will resolve to 'Hanyu Guo' if Hanyu Guo advances against Elina Svitolina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elina Svitolina@ 91.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elina Svitolina; negative values favor Hanyu Guo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElina Svitolina · $0
6hElina Svitolina · $18.1K
24hElina Svitolina · $18.1K

Elina Svitolina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elina Svitolina price. Hanyu Guo fills are converted to the complementary Elina Svitolina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current87.5¢
VWAP 24h90.7¢▼ below by 3.2pp
VWAP 7d90.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elina Svitolina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$18.7K
85¢
← now
$2.7K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Svitolina vs. Guo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Svitolina vs. Guo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Svitolina vs. Guo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Elina Svitolina vs. Hanyu Guo: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Svitolina vs. Guo: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Svitolina vs. Guo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0000.Elina Svitolina$18.2K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.