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Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenko

● quote 27s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $960.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $900.7KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenko
0.1¢
Leylah Fernandez
100.0¢
Jelena Ostapenko
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:305 trades$338.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 46s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Leylah Fernandez · $14.4K net·19 wallets(1🐋)·$177.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJelena Ostapenko$17.1K@ 69¢·coinlaundry

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Jelena Ostapenko pressure: $23.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$23.8K
6h
−$8.1K
tracked
$338.0K

19 verified profitable wallets: Leylah Fernandez · $14.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +37.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable SELL price moved 37.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jelena Ostapenko or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $6.1K gross
0x8747…8b5d2 linked markets · $18 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Leylah Fernandez29m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Leylah Fernandez@ 37.0¢35m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Jelena Ostapenko@ 79.0¢44m ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Leylah Fernandez1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Leylah Fernandez DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $543 → $352 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Leylah Fernandez; negative values favor Jelena Ostapenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJelena Ostapenko · $23.8K
6hJelena Ostapenko · $8.1K
24hJelena Ostapenko · $7.1K

Leylah Fernandez price VWAP

Volume-weighted Leylah Fernandez price. Jelena Ostapenko fills are converted to the complementary Leylah Fernandez probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h35.3¢▼ below by 35.3pp
VWAP 7d35.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Leylah Fernandez price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$5.9K
60¢
$4.1K
55¢
$25.3K
50¢
$41.1K
45¢
$49.7K
40¢
$44.6K
35¢
$13.1K
30¢
$60.2K
25¢
$15.3K
20¢
$11.0K
15¢
$28.4K
10¢
$3.4K
5¢
$6.1K
0¢
← now
$29.9K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJelena Ostapenko$11.6K@ 60.0¢
Gumayusi980x5bc6…eff4
🐋—34 minutes ago
SELLLeylah Fernandez$11.7K@ 30.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJelena Ostapenko$17.1K@ 69.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$10.2K@ 41.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$12.2K@ 47.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$10.6K@ 47.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtLeylah Fernandez$45.9K
BUY VWAP 46.7¢·5 fills
coinlaundryJelena Ostapenko$25.5K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesJelena Ostapenko$22.6K
BUY VWAP 52.4¢·18 fills
dmoralezJelena Ostapenko$12.1K
BUY VWAP 63.8¢·10 fills
KkunnJelena Ostapenko$10.9K
BUY VWAP 45.6¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesLeylah Fernandez$10.9K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.