PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner

● quote 32s ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $93.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $79.7KEvent: Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Mena Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
100.0¢
PuckChamp
0.1¢
Mena Warriors
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution98Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:103 trades$21.1K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 62 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:PuckChamp · $244 net·4 wallets·$396 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLPuckChamp$6.0K@ 100¢·Barbozaaa321

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$12.1K
tracked
$21.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: PuckChamp · $244 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 62 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 01:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 2 against Mena Warriors.

•This market will resolve to "Mena Warriors" if Mena Warriors win Game 2 against PuckChamp.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PuckChamp and Mena Warriors in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 2 against Mena Warriors. This market will resolve to "Mena Warriors" if Mena Warriors win Game 2 against PuckChamp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swag67miniongucci2 linked markets · $11.9K gross
TiltedAnimal2 linked markets · $5.3K gross
svelzao2 linked markets · $5.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: PuckChamp UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $97 → $156 · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PuckChamp; negative values favor Mena Warriors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPuckChamp · $0
6hMena Warriors · $12.1K
24hMena Warriors · $12.1K

PuckChamp price VWAP

Volume-weighted PuckChamp price. Mena Warriors fills are converted to the complementary PuckChamp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h80.2¢▲ above by 19.8pp
VWAP 7d80.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

PuckChamp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.0K
90¢
$60
85¢
$1.0K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$28
65¢
$142
60¢
$294
55¢
$205
50¢
$502
45¢
$932
40¢
$210
35¢
$4.8K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Mena Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
100.0¢$83.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: Mena Warriors (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)
0.0¢$786priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢$58priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Mena Warriors (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
0.1¢$3.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner
0.1¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca Andreescu
0.0¢$696.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.