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Spread: Knicks (-4.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 33 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $61.7KEvent: Raptors vs. Knicks
53.0¢
Knicks
47.0¢
Raptors
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$23.2K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Knicks · $10.2K net·4 wallets·$10.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKnicks$9.8K@ 46¢·iDARKenjoyer

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Knicks SETUP
What the tape says

Knicks pressure: $5.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.0K
6h
+$5.0K
tracked
$23.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: Knicks · $10.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 74% · priority 64

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Knicks or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 5 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 15 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
iDARKenjoyer3 linked markets · $27.9K gross
www511zwin2 linked markets · $14.0K gross
0xe907…cff65 linked markets · $3.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Raptors DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $808 → $1.5K · 84s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Knicks; negative values favor Raptors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKnicks · $5.0K
6hKnicks · $5.0K
24hKnicks · $4.9K

Knicks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Knicks price. Raptors fills are converted to the complementary Knicks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.0¢
VWAP 24h46.3¢▲ above by 6.7pp
VWAP 7d46.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Knicks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$372
45¢
$22.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.