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Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · ValorantCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $56.1KEvent: Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
FUT Esports
99.95¢
Fire Flux Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly56Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:48 trades$9.7K trackedsource coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 43s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FUT Esports · $43 net·2 wallets·$43 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFire Flux Esports$4.1K@ 51¢·tankfest2027

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$123
6h
−$1.0K
tracked
$9.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: FUT Esports · $43 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Fire Flux Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Fire Flux Esports" if Fire Flux Esports win the match against FUT Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Semifinal 1 match between FUT Esports and Fire Flux Esports in the Monsters Reloaded Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Fire Flux Esports. This market will resolve to "Fire Flux Esports" if Fire Flux Esports win the match against FUT Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Jimmyman1323 linked markets · $214 gross
0xed03…1caa2 linked markets · $107 gross
dfdeath2 linked markets · $20 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: FUT Esports DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $27 → $6 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FUT Esports; negative values favor Fire Flux Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFire Flux Esports · $123
6hFire Flux Esports · $1.0K
24hFUT Esports · $726

FUT Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FUT Esports price. Fire Flux Esports fills are converted to the complementary FUT Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h53.1¢▼ below by 53.1pp
VWAP 7d53.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FUT Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.6K
45¢
$5.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$40
25¢
$9
20¢
$101
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$18

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner
—$4.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
—$16priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.