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Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $388.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $565.9KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari
50.5¢
Maja Chwalinska
49.5¢
Maria Sakkari
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:255 trades$224.9K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maja Chwalinska · $3.1K net·15 wallets·$49.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaria Sakkari$19.6K@ 42¢·juice-fruit

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Maria Sakkari pressure: $20.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$20.2K
6h
+$15.2K
tracked
$224.9K

15 verified profitable wallets: Maja Chwalinska · $3.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 46

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maria Sakkari or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-23 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Chwalinska and Maria Sakkari in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Maria Sakkari. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Maja Chwalinska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $43 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Maria Sakkari UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $27.9K → $8.6K · 22s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maja Chwalinska; negative values favor Maria Sakkari. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaria Sakkari · $20.2K
6hMaja Chwalinska · $15.2K
24hMaja Chwalinska · $10.1K

Maja Chwalinska price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maja Chwalinska price. Maria Sakkari fills are converted to the complementary Maja Chwalinska probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h55.1¢▼ below by 4.6pp
VWAP 7d55.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maja Chwalinska price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$7.3K
75¢
$19.8K
70¢
$6.0K
65¢
$3.9K
60¢
$15.5K
55¢
$36.1K
50¢
← now
$32.6K
45¢
$86.5K
40¢
$16.0K
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMaria Sakkari$19.6K@ 41.7¢
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747
🐋—16 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari
0.0¢$7.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari
0.0¢$3.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chwalinska vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Maja Chwalinska vs. Maria Sakkari: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$204priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Maria Sakkari (-1.5) vs Maja Chwalinska (+1.5)
0.0¢$127priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chwalinska vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$42priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chwalinska vs. Sakkari: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chwalinska vs. Sakkari: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

juice-fruitMaria Sakkari$31.6K
BUY VWAP 43.2¢·3 fills
luisterraMaria Sakkari$14.9K
BUY VWAP 51.9¢·2 fills
luisterraMaja Chwalinska$13.5K
BUY VWAP 71.6¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesMaria Sakkari$11.3K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.