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Set 2 Winner: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.1KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢
Diana Shnaider
0.0¢
Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection53Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%
24h sample:4 trades$141 trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 42 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$74
6h
+$93
tracked
$141

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 41 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 42 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-23 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Diana Shnaider” if Diana Shnaider wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jelena Ostapenko” if Jelena Ostapenko wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Shnaider and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Diana Shnaider” if Diana Shnaider wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jelena Ostapenko” if Jelena Ostapenko wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $11.7K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $6.2K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $4.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Diana Shnaider; negative values favor Jelena Ostapenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiana Shnaider · $74
6hDiana Shnaider · $93
24hDiana Shnaider · $93

Diana Shnaider price VWAP

Volume-weighted Diana Shnaider price. Jelena Ostapenko fills are converted to the complementary Diana Shnaider probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.8¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d31.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Diana Shnaider price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$39
65¢
$3
60¢
$24
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$74

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko
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Game Spread: Diana Shnaider (-3.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+3.5)
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Diana Shnaider vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Shnaider vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$285priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shnaider vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shnaider vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shnaider vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.