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Rovereto: Gabriela Knutson vs Martyna Kubka

● quote 16 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $208.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $434.1KEvent: Rovereto: Gabriela Knutson vs Martyna Kubka
1.0¢
Gabriela Knutson
99.9¢
Martyna Kubka
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection78Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:88 trades$65.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Martyna Kubka · $6.1K net·9 wallets·$10.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMartyna Kubka$21.4K@ 98¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Martyna Kubka pressure: $50.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$50.4K
6h
−$50.4K
tracked
$65.0K

9 verified profitable wallets: Martyna Kubka · $6.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 16 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 39 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Martyna Kubka or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-23 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Knutson and Martyna Kubka in the Rovereto, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Knutson' if Gabriela Knutson advances against Martyna Kubka. This market will resolve to 'Martyna Kubka' if Martyna Kubka advances against Gabriela Knutson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Gabriela Knutson DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $856 → $35 · 78s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gabriela Knutson; negative values favor Martyna Kubka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMartyna Kubka · $50.4K
6hMartyna Kubka · $50.4K
24hMartyna Kubka · $50.4K

Gabriela Knutson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gabriela Knutson price. Martyna Kubka fills are converted to the complementary Gabriela Knutson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h8.2¢▼ below by 7.2pp
VWAP 7d8.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gabriela Knutson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$15
50¢
$296
45¢
$4.4K
40¢
$115
35¢
$433
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$2.8K
20¢
$1.9K
15¢
$385
10¢
$0
5¢
$3.8K
0¢
← now
$48.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMartyna Kubka$12.8K@ 98.9¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMartyna Kubka$14.2K@ 98.9¢
yesmate0x5d76…9168
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMartyna Kubka$21.4K@ 97.9¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Gabriela Knutson vs. Martyna Kubka: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$150priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Knutson vs. Kubka: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Knutson vs. Kubka: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Knutson vs. Kubka: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Knutson vs. Kubka: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Gabriela Knutson vs Martyna Kubka
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Gabriela Knutson (-0.5) vs Martyna Kubka (+0.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Knutson vs. Kubka: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseMartyna Kubka$21.4K
BUY VWAP 97.9¢·1 fill
yesmateMartyna Kubka$14.2K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill
HVABMartyna Kubka$12.8K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.