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Set Handicap: Iga Swiatek (-1.5) vs Ann Li (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Iga SwiatekLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.3KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek
100.0¢
Iga Swiatek payout
0.0¢
Ann Li payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:3 trades$6 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 112 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Iga Swiatek. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-23 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Iga Swiatek" if Iga Swiatek wins by 2 or more sets than Ann Li, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ann Li."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Iga Swiatek can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Ann Li."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Ann Li in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Iga Swiatek" if Iga Swiatek wins by 2 or more sets than Ann Li, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ann Li." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Iga Swiatek can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Ann Li." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
RoadTo1MillionUsd2 linked markets · $600 gross
0xd304…3ed22 linked markets · $141 gross
0xbfd7…f0bf2 linked markets · $40 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iga Swiatek; negative values favor Ann Li. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIga Swiatek · $0
6hAnn Li · $5
24hAnn Li · $6

Iga Swiatek price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iga Swiatek price. Ann Li fills are converted to the complementary Iga Swiatek probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h56.3¢▲ above by 43.7pp
VWAP 7d56.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iga Swiatek price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$6
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Iga Swiatek (-5.5) vs Ann Li (+5.5)
0.0¢$10.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek
0.0¢$5.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$512priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek
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Li vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
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Li vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.