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UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Sports→Combat SportsSettlement: Abubakar VagaevLiquidity: $218.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $428.6KEvent: UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
100.0¢
Abubakar Vagaev payout
0.0¢
Jacob Malkoun payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:185 trades$161.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Abubakar Vagaev · $5.0K net·20 wallets·$34.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAbubakar Vagaev$61.7K@ 59¢·Sassy-Bucket

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Abubakar Vagaev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Abubakar Vagaev" if Abubakar Vagaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Jacob Malkoun" if Jacob Malkoun is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Abubakar Vagaev" if Abubakar Vagaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Jacob Malkoun" if Jacob Malkoun is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 17m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Abubakar Vagaev@ 69.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Abubakar Vagaev@ 71.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Abubakar Vagaev@ 59.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Abubakar Vagaev UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $502 → $297 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Abubakar Vagaev; negative values favor Jacob Malkoun. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJacob Malkoun · $16.6K
6hAbubakar Vagaev · $54.7K
24hAbubakar Vagaev · $55.7K

Abubakar Vagaev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Abubakar Vagaev price. Jacob Malkoun fills are converted to the complementary Abubakar Vagaev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.09¢▲ above by 30.9pp
VWAP 7d68.09¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Abubakar Vagaev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$36.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.0K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.4K
65¢
$8.9K
60¢
$27.9K
55¢
$102.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAbubakar Vagaev$18.9K@ 59.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAbubakar Vagaev$61.7K@ 59.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketAbubakar Vagaev$80.6K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.