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Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $93.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $98.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B
0.1¢
Legacy
100.0¢
BetBoom Team
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets97Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution98Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:51 trades$22.5K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Legacy · $1.9K net·3 wallets·$2.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLegacy$4.0K@ 36¢·12monkeys

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Legacy pressure: $2.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.7K
6h
+$13.4K
tracked
$22.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Legacy · $1.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Legacy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy wins 2 or more maps than BetBoom Team in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BetBoom Team".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Legacy and BetBoom Team in the Thunderpick World Championship Group B, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy wins 2 or more maps than BetBoom Team in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BetBoom Team". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Kkunn2 linked markets · $38.0K gross
cruzNBA2 linked markets · $30.8K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $25.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Legacy UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $3 → $2 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Legacy; negative values favor BetBoom Team. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLegacy · $2.7K
6hLegacy · $13.4K
24hLegacy · $9.4K

Legacy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Legacy price. BetBoom Team fills are converted to the complementary Legacy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h29.9¢▼ below by 29.8pp
VWAP 7d29.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Legacy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$25
55¢
$2
50¢
$9
45¢
$2.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$8.8K
30¢
$6.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$33
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$4.3K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B
21.5¢$976.0Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner
0.1¢$499.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
36.5¢$39.5Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢$369priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)
0.0¢$356priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢$185priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5)
0.0¢$20priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.