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LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

● quote 50s ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $10.2KEvent: LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
28.5¢
MVK Esports
71.5¢
Karmine Corp
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly41Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:13 trades$5.3K trackedsource coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKarmine Corp$3.5K@ 71¢·0x6918…782b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$64
6h
−$4.9K
tracked
$5.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Karmine Corp · $165 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 35 minutes old.
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against Karmine Corp.

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against MVK Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against MVK Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x6918…782b7 linked markets · $18.0K gross
am1005 linked markets · $6.0K gross
skadii2 linked markets · $4.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MVK Esports; negative values favor Karmine Corp. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKarmine Corp · $64
6hKarmine Corp · $4.9K
24hKarmine Corp · $4.5K

MVK Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted MVK Esports price. Karmine Corp fills are converted to the complementary MVK Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current28.5¢
VWAP 24h29.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d29.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MVK Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$507
25¢
← now
$4.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
17.5¢$127.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
70.5¢$40.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)
39.5¢$28.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
59.5¢$13.2Kpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
0.0¢$7.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner
0.0¢$7.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0.0¢$6.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.