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LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner

● quote 127 min ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.5KEvent: LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
28.5¢
FURIA Esports
71.5¢
Cloud9
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$2.3K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 195 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCloud9$2.0K@ 73¢·0x6918…782b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$306
tracked
$2.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: FURIA Esports · $317 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 127 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 195 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 3 against Cloud9.

•This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 3 against FURIA Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and Cloud9 in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 3 against Cloud9. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 3 against FURIA Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $546.9K gross
bilibikh2 linked markets · $31.3K gross
0x6918…782b7 linked markets · $15.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA Esports; negative values favor Cloud9. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA Esports · $0
6hFURIA Esports · $306
24hCloud9 · $1.7K

FURIA Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA Esports price. Cloud9 fills are converted to the complementary FURIA Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current28.5¢
VWAP 24h27.1¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d27.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$2.3K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
16.5¢$745.2Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)
40.5¢$299.0Kpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)
69.5¢$75.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
58.5¢$17.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
28.5¢$14.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
28.5¢$14.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
22.5¢$10.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.