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Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Elina Avanesyan

● quote 7 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $41.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $347.7KEvent: Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Elina Avanesyan
99.1¢
Sayaka Ishii
0.9¢
Elina Avanesyan
0.8¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution19Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:35 trades$57.1K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elina Avanesyan · $36.6K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$36.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElina Avanesyan$16.3K@ 29¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Elina Avanesyan pressure: $11.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.1K
6h
−$42.9K
tracked
$57.1K

5 verified profitable wallets: Elina Avanesyan · $36.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.8¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 7 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elina Avanesyan or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 02:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sayaka Ishii and Elina Avanesyan in the Japan Women's Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sayaka Ishii' if Sayaka Ishii advances against Elina Avanesyan. This market will resolve to 'Elina Avanesyan' if Elina Avanesyan advances against Sayaka Ishii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd9c9…66862 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sayaka Ishii; negative values favor Elina Avanesyan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElina Avanesyan · $11.1K
6hElina Avanesyan · $42.9K
24hElina Avanesyan · $42.9K

Sayaka Ishii price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sayaka Ishii price. Elina Avanesyan fills are converted to the complementary Sayaka Ishii probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.1¢
VWAP 24h78.6¢▲ above by 20.5pp
VWAP 7d78.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sayaka Ishii price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$11.4K
90¢
$4.8K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$15.3K
70¢
$20.4K
65¢
$4.1K
60¢
$94
55¢
$0
50¢
$1
45¢
$279
40¢
$5
35¢
$520
30¢
$5
25¢
$53
20¢
$136
15¢
$47
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSayaka Ishii$11.1K@ 99.9¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—20 minutes ago
BUYElina Avanesyan$15.3K@ 25.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElina Avanesyan$16.3K@ 29.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Sayaka Ishii vs Elina Avanesyan
0.0¢$88priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Elina Avanesyan (-5.5) vs Sayaka Ishii (+5.5)
0.0¢$80priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ishii vs. Avanesyan: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ishii vs. Avanesyan: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sayaka Ishii vs. Elina Avanesyan: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ishii vs. Avanesyan: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ishii vs. Avanesyan: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ishii vs. Avanesyan: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Elina Avanesyan$36.5K
BUY VWAP 20.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.