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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: Aurora GamingLiquidity: $232.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $213.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
100.0¢
Aurora Gaming payout
0.0¢
TheMongolz payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:131 trades$87.0K trackedsource coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:TheMongolz · $7.8K net·6 wallets·$8.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAurora Gaming$6.5K@ 100¢·aaaa298

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Aurora Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-24 13:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against TheMongolz.

•This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Aurora Gaming and TheMongolz in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 24, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 26m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 26m ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $23.5K gross
cruzNBA2 linked markets · $12.4K gross
yishiwucheng3 linked markets · $11.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aurora Gaming UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $8.3K → $1.9K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora Gaming; negative values favor TheMongolz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTheMongolz · $30.0K
6hTheMongolz · $24.4K
24hTheMongolz · $24.4K

Aurora Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora Gaming price. TheMongolz fills are converted to the complementary Aurora Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h82.69¢▲ above by 17.3pp
VWAP 7d82.69¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$39.7K
90¢
$7.1K
85¢
$1.2K
80¢
$8.8K
75¢
$91
70¢
$1.6K
65¢
$5.7K
60¢
$5.9K
55¢
$9.2K
50¢
$6.0K
45¢
$234
40¢
$117
35¢
$1.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
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Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)
50.0¢$345priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50.0¢$53priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs TheMongolz (+6.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.