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Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $403.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $816.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Indicative prices · 11s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Vitality
0.05¢
9z
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:116 trades$280.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:9z · $29.5K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$41.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality$84.0K@ 84¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

9z pressure: $10.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$10.0K
6h
−$47.2K
tracked
$280.7K

8 verified profitable wallets: 9z · $29.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 17.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 9z or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against 9z.

•This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Vitality and 9z in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 24, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
redvinny2 linked markets · $40.1K gross
aaaa2983 linked markets · $36.4K gross
iii2522 linked markets · $21.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Vitality@ 83.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 85.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +8.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 84.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Vitality UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $11.5K → $22.2K · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vitality; negative values favor 9z. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h9z · $10.0K
6h9z · $47.2K
24hVitality · $120.4K

Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vitality price. 9z fills are converted to the complementary Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h85.63¢▲ above by 14.3pp
VWAP 7d85.63¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$24.1K
90¢
$10.8K
85¢
$12.6K
80¢
$233.1K
75¢
$53
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY9z$17.0K@ 17.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUY9z$15.6K@ 16.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYVitality$61.3K@ 84.0¢
S-Works0xee00…cea1
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYVitality$84.0K@ 84.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
99.95¢$222.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)
99.95¢$93.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.05¢$10.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)
—$2.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)
—$895priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)
—$775priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
—$211priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs 9z (+9.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Vitality$84.0K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill
S-WorksVitality$61.3K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill
Kkunn9z$35.5K
BUY VWAP 14.88¢·3 fills
aaaa298Vitality$11.9K
BUY VWAP 91.25¢·6 fills
jaytee158Vitality$11.3K
BUY VWAP 84.53¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.