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Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Team Resilience (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $45.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $89.3KEvent: Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Team Resilience (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
34.5¢
Team Tidebound
65.5¢
Team Resilience
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets7Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution83Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:138 trades$14.0K trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Resilience · $346 net·11 wallets·$998 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Tidebound$2.8K@ 50¢·0xNuttawut

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$788
6h
−$607
tracked
$14.0K

11 verified profitable wallets: Team Resilience · $346 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 13:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Tidebound" if Team Tidebound win the match against Team Resilience.

•This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win the match against Team Tidebound.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 1 match between Team Tidebound and Team Resilience in the BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Tidebound" if Team Tidebound win the match against Team Resilience. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win the match against Team Tidebound. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
8D1cDXikbIYM5T2 linked markets · $3.5K gross
gxxyy2 linked markets · $3.4K gross
zxc1122332 linked markets · $2.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Tidebound UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $2.9K → $248 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Tidebound; negative values favor Team Resilience. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Resilience · $788
6hTeam Resilience · $607
24hTeam Resilience · $523

Team Tidebound price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Tidebound price. Team Resilience fills are converted to the complementary Team Tidebound probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current34.5¢
VWAP 24h39.9¢▼ below by 5.4pp
VWAP 7d39.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Tidebound price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$36
75¢
$105
70¢
$30
65¢
$16
60¢
$500
55¢
$5
50¢
$2.5K
45¢
$4.8K
40¢
$500
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$788
25¢
$690
20¢
$1.6K
15¢
$2.3K
10¢
$10
5¢
$153
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.