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Ningbo Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets

● quote 39s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $44.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $156.3KEvent: Ningbo Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets
100.0¢
Katarzyna Kawa
0.1¢
Katie Volynets
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$64.7K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Katie Volynets · $9.0K net·7 wallets·$14.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKatarzyna Kawa$20.0K@ 100¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Katie Volynets pressure: $11.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.3K
6h
−$23.1K
tracked
$64.7K

7 verified profitable wallets: Katie Volynets · $9.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Katie Volynets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Katie Volynets in the Ningbo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Katie Volynets. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x7860…ab462 linked markets · $94 gross
0x9ca0…4b692 linked markets · $48 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Katie Volynets DOWN 9.5pp · near-book depth $7 → $395 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katarzyna Kawa; negative values favor Katie Volynets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKatie Volynets · $11.3K
6hKatie Volynets · $23.1K
24hKatie Volynets · $23.1K

Katarzyna Kawa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katarzyna Kawa price. Katie Volynets fills are converted to the complementary Katarzyna Kawa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h64.9¢▲ above by 35.1pp
VWAP 7d64.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katarzyna Kawa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$12.9K
50¢
$370
45¢
$25.1K
40¢
$1.3K
35¢
$3.2K
30¢
$7
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$562
10¢
$740
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKatarzyna Kawa$20.0K@ 99.9¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYKatarzyna Kawa$10.9K@ 58.3¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYKatie Volynets$10.2K@ 51.1¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—35 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets
0.0¢$897priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kawa vs. Volynets: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$850priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kawa vs. Volynets: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$31priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kawa vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kawa vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Katarzyna Kawa vs. Katie Volynets: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kawa vs. Volynets: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kawa vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseKatarzyna Kawa$15.6K
BUY VWAP 54.9¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Katie Volynets$11.2K
BUY VWAP 53.6¢·7 fills
KkunnKatie Volynets$10.2K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.