PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Almaty Open, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $41.8KEvent: Almaty Open, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
17.5¢
Taro Daniel
82.5¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection81Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority86Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 95%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$34.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 82%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Taro Daniel · $292 net·6 wallets·$322 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTaro Daniel$13.8K@ 20¢·kdvlklkvlsklkfs

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Taro Daniel SETUP
What the tape says

Taro Daniel pressure: $27.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$27.5K
6h
+$21.6K
tracked
$34.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: Taro Daniel · $292 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 95% · priority 86

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Taro Daniel or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 07:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taro Daniel and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Taro Daniel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Taro Daniel DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $19.0K → $10.2K · 28s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Taro Daniel; negative values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTaro Daniel · $27.5K
6hTaro Daniel · $21.6K
24hTaro Daniel · $21.6K

Taro Daniel price VWAP

Volume-weighted Taro Daniel price. Nikoloz Basilashvili fills are converted to the complementary Taro Daniel probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current17.5¢
VWAP 24h24.1¢▼ below by 6.6pp
VWAP 7d24.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Taro Daniel price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$6.3K
35¢
$136
30¢
$101
25¢
$1
20¢
$27.5K
15¢
← now
$51
10¢
$48
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTaro Daniel$13.8K@ 20.3¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—5 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Daniel vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$583priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Taro Daniel (+1.5)
0.0¢$149priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-3.5) vs Taro Daniel (+3.5)
0.0¢$100priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Taro Daniel vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
0.0¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Daniel vs. Basilashvili: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Daniel vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Daniel vs. Basilashvili: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Taro Daniel vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kdvlklkvlsklkfsTaro Daniel$27.5K
BUY VWAP 20.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.