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European Open, Qualification: Joel Schwaerzler vs Federico Cina

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $11.1KEvent: European Open, Qualification: Joel Schwaerzler vs Federico Cina
0.0¢
Joel Schwaerzler
0.0¢
Federico Cina
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection69Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets84Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$7.6K trackedsource coverage 69%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Federico Cina · $4.8K net·3 wallets·$5.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFederico Cina$2.7K@ 70¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Federico Cina pressure: $5.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$5.2K
6h
−$3.0K
tracked
$7.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Federico Cina · $4.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Federico Cina or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Federico Cina in the European Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Joel Schwaerzler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Joel Schwaerzler; negative values favor Federico Cina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFederico Cina · $5.2K
6hFederico Cina · $3.0K
24hFederico Cina · $3.0K

Joel Schwaerzler price VWAP

Volume-weighted Joel Schwaerzler price. Federico Cina fills are converted to the complementary Joel Schwaerzler probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h34.6¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d34.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Joel Schwaerzler price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.3K
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$5.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Federico Cina (-1.5) vs Joel Schwaerzler (+1.5)
0.0¢$24priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Schwaerzler vs. Cina: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Schwaerzler vs. Cina: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Schwaerzler vs. Cina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Joel Schwaerzler vs Federico Cina
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Schwaerzler vs. Cina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Joel Schwaerzler vs Federico Cina
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Schwaerzler vs. Cina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.