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LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 15 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $22.1KEvent: LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
38.5¢
MVK Esports
61.5¢
FURIA Esports
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection48Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$3.9K trackedsource coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFURIA Esports$1.8K@ 61¢·lolpredict

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW FURIA Esports SETUP
What the tape says

FURIA Esports pressure: $1.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.9K
6h
−$2.3K
tracked
$3.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: FURIA Esports · $956 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 57

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 15h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FURIA Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against FURIA Esports.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against MVK Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and FURIA Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against MVK Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x6918…782b2 linked markets · $5.0K gross
0xa772…86862 linked markets · $195 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MVK Esports; negative values favor FURIA Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA Esports · $1.9K
6hFURIA Esports · $2.3K
24hFURIA Esports · $2.3K

MVK Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted MVK Esports price. FURIA Esports fills are converted to the complementary MVK Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h39.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d39.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MVK Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$129
35¢
← now
$3.8K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Games Total: O/U 4.5
0.0¢$7.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
0.0¢$4.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)
0.0¢$196priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
0.0¢$141priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
0.0¢$103priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner
0.0¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
0.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.