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Trail Blazers vs. Kings

● quote 21s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 17 hoursLiquidity: $230.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $165.3KEvent: Trail Blazers vs. Kings
74.5¢
Trail Blazers
25.5¢
Kings
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly94Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$44.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 34 min agoofficial metadata 40s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Trail Blazers · $1.7K net·4 wallets·$1.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKings$15.1K@ 26¢·monkeymashingkeyboard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$987
6h
−$21.6K
tracked
$44.9K

4 verified profitable wallets: Trail Blazers · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 34 minutes old.
  • •Less than 17h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers".

•If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 10:00PM ET: If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4278…0e922 linked markets · $5.2K gross
Herdonia2 linked markets · $518 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Trail Blazers; negative values favor Kings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTrail Blazers · $987
6hKings · $21.6K
24hKings · $22.2K

Trail Blazers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Trail Blazers price. Kings fills are converted to the complementary Trail Blazers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current74.5¢
VWAP 24h73.4¢▲ above by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d73.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Trail Blazers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.3K
70¢
← now
$48.9K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKings$15.1K@ 26.0¢
monkeymashingkeyboard0x684b…8409
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
56.0¢$16.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
0.0¢$9.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
0.0¢$2.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
0.0¢$500priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
0.0¢$338priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)
0.0¢$254priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)
0.0¢$103priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)
0.0¢$56priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

monkeymashingkeyboardKings$15.1K
BUY VWAP 26.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.