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Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang

● quote 393 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $32Event: Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang
69.5¢
Tereza Valentova
30.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%
24h sample:2 trades$11 trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 386 min agoofficial metadata 390 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$11

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 393 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 386 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 390 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tereza Valentova and Shuai Zhang in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Valentova' if Tereza Valentova advances against Shuai Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Shuai Zhang' if Shuai Zhang advances against Tereza Valentova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tereza Valentova; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTereza Valentova · $0
6hTereza Valentova · $0
24hTereza Valentova · $9

Tereza Valentova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tereza Valentova price. NO fills are converted to the complementary Tereza Valentova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current69.5¢
VWAP 24h69.9¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d68.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tereza Valentova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$11
65¢
← now
$11
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Tereza Valentova (-1.5) vs Shuai Zhang (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Zhang: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Zhang: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Tereza Valentova (-4.5) vs Shuai Zhang (+4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tereza Valentova vs. Shuai Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5
34.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.