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Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs

● quote 24s ago
Sports→Esports · ValorantCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $209.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $75.5KEvent: Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs
58.5¢
LOUD
41.5¢
Team Vitality
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets15Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:32 trades$25.4K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LOUD · $433 net·4 wallets·$2.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Vitality$8.2K@ 41¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

LOUD pressure: $2.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.5K
6h
+$3.3K
tracked
$25.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: LOUD · $433 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 49

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LOUD or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Team Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against LOUD.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Grand Final match between LOUD and Team Vitality in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against LOUD. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOUD; negative values favor Team Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLOUD · $2.5K
6hLOUD · $3.3K
24hLOUD · $2.3K

LOUD price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOUD price. Team Vitality fills are converted to the complementary LOUD probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h59.2¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d59.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOUD price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$7.6K
55¢
← now
$17.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Games Total: O/U 3.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 3 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 4 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.